Hdldmdkdm
0xc9059adf971395ecf4145712cc94ec4704e8c23d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.20
- Volume
- $550.10
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $13.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.405Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
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- +$3.05at 0.200Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
- +$2.79at 0.356XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$2.13at 0.320GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 21:29 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5019999933 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.56 |
| 05-13 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:40 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4469998458 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:39 | Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:39 | Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:38 | Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:38 | Will "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:38 | Will "Fiduciary" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.1291398233 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:38 | Will "Hormone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:37 | Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 06:37 | Will "Federal Reserve" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 14:47 | Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 14:46 | Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |