Tuoppias
0xc9038ff51a861150d76fbeb2a170ebb70614ed01
- Realised P&L
- $-400.38
- Volume
- $324.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.650 | 0.725 | $2.6k | +$267.04 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.155 | $302.64 | −$17.35 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.070 | $137.76 | −$162.24 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.015 | $61.60 | −$719.16 |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Trump jail Elon Musk? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.219Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$272.22at 0.310Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$166.29at 0.040Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$141.96at 0.458Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
- +$76.89at 0.310Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:17 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $808.40 |
| 10-28 11:14 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1288125363 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 11:02 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1518794609 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 10:52 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0682345837 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 15:36 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1880756375 | $180.76 |
| 10-13 15:35 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $120.00 |
| 10-13 15:33 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $700.00 |
| 10-12 11:52 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $810.99 |
| 10-12 11:47 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 11:37 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1698281506 | $200.00 |
| 10-12 11:31 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.2745220161 | $500.00 |
| 05-16 23:18 | Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.9918664283 | $1.5k |
| 05-13 07:43 | Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2109317959 | $753.92 |
| 05-13 07:22 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0533534904 | $822.47 |
| 05-12 08:45 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.038203806 | $588.93 |