PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc8f34947c634db7a3f8c7766efe1805f17af2cf4

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$88.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.4500.445$21.80−$0.24
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.705$3.52+$0.03
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.5900.670$3.35+$0.40
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.6700.440$2.20−$1.15
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.2800.425$2.13+$0.72
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.6900.410$2.05−$1.40
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.5400.360$1.80−$0.90
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.3200.330$1.65+$0.05
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.2000.155$0.78−$0.23
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0220.019$0.69−$0.09
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.1090.067$0.33−$0.21
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0170.013$0.32−$0.07
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.0480.040$0.20−$0.04
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0200.040$0.20+$0.10
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0190.017$0.08−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:12Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.45$3.15
11-01 23:12Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.45$9.45
11-01 23:12Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.45$9.45
11-01 23:12Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting?SELL0.47$9.40
11-01 23:12US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.18$3.60
11-01 23:12Will there be no Hormuz agreement?SELL0.962$9.62
11-01 22:32Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.69$3.45
11-01 22:32Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.67$3.35
11-01 22:19Will Atlanta United FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?BUY0.13$1.30
11-01 22:19Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.07$0.70
11-01 21:32Will there be no Hormuz agreement?SELL0.954$4.77
11-01 21:32Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.961$4.80
11-01 21:30Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.017$0.62
11-01 21:30Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.023$0.23
11-01 21:29Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0166203046$1.00