PlaceHolderName
0xc8ea89b362b331a71b37b33dcc9a11b385f3bf15
- Realised P&L
- $-44.60
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $16.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wingate & Finchley FC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.210 | 1.000 | $14.28 | +$11.28 |
| Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katie Volynets · Kamilla Rakhimova | 0.350 | 0.355 | $1.77 | +$0.03 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will VV Staphorst win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.20 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Harvard international students ban ended before August? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.88at 0.373Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
- +$30.75at 0.593Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
- +$21.32at 0.190Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?
- +$7.33at 0.860Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
- +$4.65at 0.560Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:59 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 18:45 | Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katie Volynets | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-22 18:34 | Will VV Staphorst win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:30 | Will Wingate & Finchley FC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 18:29 | Will Wingate & Finchley FC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.036 | $2.06 |
| 09-03 22:56 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:53 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:52 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 22:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.38 |
| 09-03 22:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.82 | $14.65 |
| 09-03 22:24 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.67 |
| 09-02 18:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 18:06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |