nxsrthz
0xc8e77c351c7094b0f166b67423c3ec45afd086d0
- Realised P&L
- $-26.41
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $34.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.205 | $34.85 | −$33.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.743Will Solana reach $110 in April?
- +$1.00at 0.944Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
- +$1.00at 0.710Will XRP dip to $1.60 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.250Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.58at 0.969Solana reach 250 September 1–7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:39 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9939997147 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 02:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9949996244 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 06:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997999508 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 08:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 10:26 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 04-23 15:23 | Will Solana reach $110 in April? | BUY | 0.983999997 | $2.60 |
| 03-17 05:22 | Will Google dip to $215 in March? | BUY | 0.9919996507 | $2.59 |
| 01-07 03:01 | Will Solana reach $200 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.52 |
| 01-07 03:01 | Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 12-17 05:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.47 |
| 12-06 11:25 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9769999593 | $13.40 |
| 12-06 11:25 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $15.20 |
| 12-06 11:24 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.80 |