0xc8E4fB4c38a859fD39edbEa067D339CA6Dd08638-1762508573292
0xc8e4fb4c38a859fd39edbea067d339ca6dd08638
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.670Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-796.82at 0.449Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:21 | Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999996 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 17:21 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.36 | $500.00 |
| 07-16 12:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 07-16 12:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $812.00 |
| 07-16 12:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.9k |
| 04-24 09:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.986263892 | $3.2k |
| 04-01 10:48 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $2.2k |
| 04-01 10:46 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.2k |
| 12-12 14:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1.0k |
| 11-25 11:31 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.434998994 | $2.0k |