PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc8E4fB4c38a859fD39edbEa067D339CA6Dd08638-1762508573292

0xc8e4fb4c38a859fd39edbea067d339ca6dd08638

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$500.00
Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 17:21Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4499999996$500.00
09-28 17:21Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.36$500.00
07-16 12:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$290.00
07-16 12:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$812.00
07-16 12:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$1.9k
04-24 09:49Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.986263892$3.2k
04-01 10:48Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6699999999$2.2k
04-01 10:46Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.33$2.2k
12-12 14:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.4799999998$1.0k
11-25 11:31Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.434998994$2.0k