syoder
0xc8e43bcbe7cd2fd1024a785057e8f4fe0b0d068e
- Realised P&L
- $19.78
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $41.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.981 | $14.51 | +$1.79 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 27? · No | 0.660 | 0.950 | $10.95 | +$3.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25? · No | 0.720 | 0.755 | $9.01 | +$0.42 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.840 | $7.37 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.52at 0.932Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.68at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.48at 0.986Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.21at 0.989Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$1.07at 0.990Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:03 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.17 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999359 | $9.46 |
| 01-30 12:34 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999621 | $13.10 |
| 01-30 12:20 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.97 |
| 12-29 21:23 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.69 |
| 12-29 19:59 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.67 |
| 12-29 19:52 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.55 |
| 12-29 19:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999934 | $23.82 |
| 10-30 20:34 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.85 |
| 10-30 19:03 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.81 |
| 09-29 13:16 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.65 |
| 09-29 10:18 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.99 |
| 09-28 22:32 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 09-28 22:03 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $15.20 |
| 09-28 21:32 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999548 | $13.57 |