gfdgfddd
0xc8df7f9ba3a6892913a96eb5a43767509f9d7140
- Realised P&L
- $-182.41
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.966 | $399.91 | +$31.46 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $374.88 | −$11.36 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.150 | $316.66 | −$42.22 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No | 0.810 | 0.964 | $310.40 | +$49.59 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.130 | $155.74 | −$23.96 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.08at 0.930Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 07:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $97.62 |
| 07-21 07:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $60.76 |
| 07-21 06:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $98.99 |
| 07-21 06:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $101.51 |
| 06-02 12:42 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $189.00 |
| 06-02 07:47 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $179.70 |
| 06-02 07:11 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $202.81 |
| 06-02 06:58 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $183.43 |