PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gfdgfddd

0xc8df7f9ba3a6892913a96eb5a43767509f9d7140

Realised P&L
$-193.43
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.250$568.00+$181.76
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · No0.8900.992$410.47+$42.02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.8100.996$320.54+$59.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.075$158.33$200.55
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1500.072$86.85$92.84
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$189.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 07:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$97.62
07-21 07:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$60.76
07-21 06:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$98.99
07-21 06:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$101.51
06-02 12:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$189.00
06-02 07:47Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.15$179.70
06-02 07:11Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$202.81
06-02 06:58Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$183.43