notorious321
0xc8da6025aff3b76e40771430948c09cd2d41e7d8
- Realised P&L
- $-382.82
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $200.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) · T1 Academy | 0.550 | 0.545 | $138.72 | −$1.27 |
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs · Sinners | 0.580 | 0.615 | $61.50 | +$3.50 |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner · DENDELE CS | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.50 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.99 |
| LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner · LOS | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$289.00 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic - Map 2 Winner · NIP | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.73 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · magic | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.50 |
| LoL: Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner · Solary | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.26at 0.512Counter-Strike: Imperial vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
- +$126.65at 0.619Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Mira - Map 2 Winner
- +$103.44at 0.493Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
- +$101.62at 0.566Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
- +$77.39at 0.612LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 00:21 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $206.21 |
| 09-28 00:04 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) | SELL | 0.9 | $0.04 |
| 09-27 23:55 | Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 23:55 | Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 23:55 | Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 23:55 | Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:51 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 23:51 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 23:51 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 23:51 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 23:32 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Mira - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $333.08 |
| 09-27 23:13 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.56 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 23:07 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.56 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.54 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 22:44 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Mira - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |