PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc8d358f0676ff274b22827d414527ad0869e12d1

0xc8d358f0676ff274b22827d414527ad0869e12d1

Realised P&L
$-6.34
Volume
$154.45
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$6.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7900.992$2.51+$0.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7100.620$1.75$0.25
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.5300.390$1.47$0.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.5400.230$0.85$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:26Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-22 16:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-22 08:09Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
09-19 23:18Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-17 16:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-17 07:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-12 09:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-07 08:08Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
09-02 08:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
09-02 00:32Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?BUY0.71$2.00
08-13 14:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-08 05:07Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
08-07 09:04Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.32$2.00
08-06 00:16Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?BUY0.619999969$2.00
08-06 00:16Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.71399991$2.00