0xc8d358f0676ff274b22827d414527ad0869e12d1
0xc8d358f0676ff274b22827d414527ad0869e12d1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.34
- Volume
- $154.45
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $6.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.992 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.620 | $1.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.390 | $1.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.230 | $0.85 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.30at 0.470Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?
- +$1.66at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.622Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.19at 0.632Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:18 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 09:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 08:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 08:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 00:32 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 05:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 09:04 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 00:16 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 00:16 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.71399991 | $2.00 |