0xC8d326f85879d3ec3E0a00e972DA81B7c45F0C88-1789458410429
0xc8d326f85879d3ec3e0a00e972da81b7c45f0c88
- Realised P&L
- $0.33
- Volume
- $296.12
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $6.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 148 and 152 seats after the 2026 election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.071 | $1.25 | +$0.15 |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.113 | $1.22 | +$0.14 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.220 | $1.22 | +$0.11 |
| Will Grüne win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.011 | $1.17 | +$0.06 |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · No | 0.090 | 0.075 | $0.92 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.029 | $0.15 | −$0.96 |
| Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.005 | $0.12 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.81at 0.007Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:34 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.097 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 16:50 | Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.11 |
| 09-16 04:40 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.78 |