vbfgr
0xc8ce94772cf96f0d35ef83cb10b2170fa09f07e3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $5.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-34.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $70 in October? · No | 0.984 | 0.987 | $5.14 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.72at 0.962Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
- +$1.00at 0.987Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
- +$0.52at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
- +$0.46at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.41at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:16 | Will Solana dip to $70 in October? | BUY | 0.9840931758 | $5.13 |
| 09-10 01:47 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.13 |
| 08-13 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.13 |
| 07-03 06:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.13 |
| 06-08 08:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9969998649 | $5.13 |
| 05-20 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.13 |
| 04-07 03:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.13 |
| 03-04 05:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999777 | $5.13 |
| 02-09 02:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9929998324 | $5.13 |
| 01-07 05:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $5.13 |
| 12-05 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.13 |
| 11-26 08:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.13 |
| 10-20 05:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | BUY | 0.9879999368 | $5.13 |
| 09-24 07:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.13 |
| 07-09 05:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? | BUY | 0.9869999908 | $76.03 |