PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0xc8ce4d3b14980afe3b558dab35d090903b17d9e5

Realised P&L
$-24.73
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$26.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6600.675$5.11+$0.11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1800.457$5.07+$3.07
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8300.900$4.34+$0.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.4100.210$2.56$2.44
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August? · Yes0.4000.420$2.10+$0.10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6400.645$2.02+$0.02
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$1.89$0.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.550$1.22+$0.22
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0140.013$0.96$0.04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.2800.050$0.89$4.11
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.080$0.47$1.53
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0250.004$0.18$0.82
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.7400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:01Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.8299999834$4.00
08-03 13:01Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.025$1.00
08-03 13:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-03 12:59Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
08-03 12:59Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-03 12:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
08-03 12:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-03 12:55Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.99$1.00
08-03 12:53Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August?BUY0.4$2.00
08-03 12:51Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7399998964$5.00
07-29 13:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$2.00
07-29 13:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.179999928$2.00
07-29 13:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-29 13:45Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $292.50 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.41$3.28
07-29 13:41Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.5399999654$5.00