0xc8ce4d3b14980afe3b558dab35d090903b17d9e5
- Realised P&L
- $-24.73
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.60at 0.329Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$18.33at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$13.59at 0.371Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$6.88at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$6.70at 0.230Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:01 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:59 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:59 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:55 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:53 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:51 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 13:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 13:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 13:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 13:45 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $292.50 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 07-29 13:41 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |