0xC8cBdc58453684164dd6bb43Cf27140AafBDdcf8-1779624394764
0xc8cbdc58453684164dd6bb43cf27140aafbddcf8
- Realised P&L
- $-152.82
- Volume
- $970.11
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.160 | $19.18 | −$60.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.68at 0.570US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$8.50at 0.084Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$-0.19at 0.270US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 04:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.81 |
| 05-25 17:43 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.155436744 | $18.50 |
| 05-25 09:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 08:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 05-24 21:11 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6674356666 | $80.00 |
| 05-24 19:22 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | SELL | 0.963 | $50.68 |
| 05-24 18:42 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0839999916 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 16:07 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4299999984 | $80.00 |
| 05-24 15:55 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 05-24 12:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $30.00 |