0xc8c50378ec80c18e50333af304b2da1d0e1526e9
0xc8c50378ec80c18e50333af304b2da1d0e1526e9
- Realised P&L
- $-162.95
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $659.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.690Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$0.30at 0.670Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
- +$0.20at 0.640Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?
- +$0.02at 0.426Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
- +$0.00at 0.140Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:58 | Will Josh Allen have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.19 |
| 10-01 04:30 | Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.367 | $1.79 |
| 10-01 04:27 | Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.33 |
| 10-01 02:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.80 |
| 10-01 02:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.64 |
| 10-01 02:02 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.87 |
| 10-01 01:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $6.44 |
| 10-01 01:52 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.66 |
| 10-01 01:45 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.43 |
| 10-01 01:38 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.67 |
| 10-01 01:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.06 |
| 10-01 01:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.44 |
| 10-01 01:26 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.70 |
| 10-01 01:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.08 |
| 10-01 01:21 | Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.058 | $4.29 |