PolyBot

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Traders

0xc8c50378ec80c18e50333af304b2da1d0e1526e9

0xc8c50378ec80c18e50333af304b2da1d0e1526e9

Realised P&L
$-162.95
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$659.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7700.705$35.25−$3.25
Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? · No0.7700.690$34.50−$4.00
Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · No0.7300.620$31.00−$5.50
Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? · No0.7400.640$30.67−$4.79
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? · No0.7000.605$30.25−$4.75
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 158k? · No0.7400.515$25.75−$11.25
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? · No0.7100.722$25.25+$0.40
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election? · No0.6600.490$24.50−$8.50
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · No0.6400.485$24.25−$7.75
Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? · No0.7260.478$23.90−$12.40
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · No0.5100.435$21.75−$3.75
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? · No0.5500.460$19.66−$3.85
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31? · No0.6200.450$19.39−$7.32
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election? · No0.4900.375$18.75−$5.75
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · No0.6400.360$18.00−$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:58Will Josh Allen have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.19$0.19
10-01 04:30Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.367$1.79
10-01 04:27Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?SELL0.21$0.33
10-01 02:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.1$2.80
10-01 02:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.28$3.64
10-01 02:02Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.004$2.87
10-01 01:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.28$6.44
10-01 01:52Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.004$1.66
10-01 01:45Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.031$1.43
10-01 01:38Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.031$1.67
10-01 01:35NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$5.06
10-01 01:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.29$10.44
10-01 01:26Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?SELL0.45$1.70
10-01 01:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.11$3.08
10-01 01:21Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.058$4.29