0xc8c20a99ea04f350ce197f6e856f136765118b8a
0xc8c20a99ea04f350ce197f6e856f136765118b8a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $559.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,360
- Open portfolio
- $5.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,360
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.091 | $3.66 | +$1.26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.017 | $1.65 | −$2.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET · Down | 0.491 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET · Down | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.109Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$993.67at 0.711Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 09-19 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 09-19 05:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4915 | $5.90 |
| 09-19 05:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.43 | $15.33 |
| 09-18 23:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4599999989 | $16.40 |
| 09-18 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $17.18 |
| 09-18 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.2 | $19.68 |
| 09-16 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $17.71 |
| 08-22 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5056513978 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $39.28 |
| 08-22 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.509179926 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $90.00 |