achioteseed
0xc8b9bc98ecdf78994a41f7fceaccef873fb8afe0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.57
- Volume
- $101.48
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 16? · No | 0.987 | 0.999 | $2.84 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.997 | $1.07 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.010 | $0.83 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.951Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.05at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?
- +$0.04at 0.982Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.984Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$0.03at 0.976Will Iva Jovic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9939997715 | $1.07 |
| 09-15 13:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.74 |
| 09-15 13:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9869997035 | $2.81 |
| 09-07 21:03 | Will Iva Jovic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.05 |
| 09-07 21:01 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.23 |
| 09-07 20:58 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9809999946 | $2.35 |
| 09-03 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.43 |
| 09-03 13:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.28 |
| 09-03 13:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.37 |
| 09-03 13:42 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9829999983 | $2.35 |
| 08-29 07:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9929999963 | $1.33 |