PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Parisonligne

0xc8b0208ea6226f498e43d34469ce93d4e1a50853

Realised P&L
$-160.03
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$33.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0790.019$24.68−$75.32
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0700.032$4.57−$5.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.033$2.17−$7.83
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.019$1.90−$8.10
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$9.77
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$130.39
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$24.20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$9.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 19:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999996$120.39
07-05 19:47Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999863$9.69
07-05 19:46Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3699999794$9.71
07-05 19:46Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2399999933$24.20
07-05 19:45Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3799999812$9.72
07-05 19:45Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999859$9.77
05-25 16:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.05$5.00
05-23 13:14Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? BUY0.0699999939$10.00
05-23 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.25$5.00
05-13 20:11Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
05-13 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
05-13 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-13 19:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-13 19:43Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0809999926$10.00
05-13 19:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0789999993$100.00