ade007
0xc8aef36d6178e9bb2f69f2890504cbb0aeee93ea
- Realised P&L
- $-23.9k
- Volume
- $681.4k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.675 | $2.6k | +$553.05 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.855 | $9.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.641US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.530US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$3.5kat 0.847Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$3.2kat 0.898Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.747US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 03:06 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.53 | $951.44 |
| 07-20 23:47 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 23:44 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0625 | $1.53 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.598 | $5.98 |
| 07-19 05:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999808 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 21:45 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:40 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.919999994 | $110.00 |
| 07-18 21:38 | France vs. England: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $1.54 |
| 07-18 21:28 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 21:22 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.7199999741 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:20 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.28 | $3.92 |
| 07-18 21:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |