ade007
0xc8aef36d6178e9bb2f69f2890504cbb0aeee93ea
- Realised P&L
- $-24.9k
- Volume
- $644.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.705 | $2.7k | +$667.47 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.865 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.641US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.530US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$3.5kat 0.847Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$3.2kat 0.898Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.747US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:57 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 10-22 09:35 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 10-19 02:24 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.80 |
| 10-17 10:05 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 07-23 03:06 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.53 | $951.44 |
| 07-20 23:47 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 23:44 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0625 | $1.53 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.598 | $5.98 |
| 07-19 05:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999808 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 21:45 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:40 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.919999994 | $110.00 |
| 07-18 21:38 | France vs. England: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $1.54 |