PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc8a626dc2b272b635614921e4d2ee9d1b2532c4e

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7400.989$989.00+$249.00
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.987$503.37+$232.77
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · No0.6201.000$400.00+$152.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4240.976$390.40+$220.70
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes0.6690.000$0.00−$500.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$499.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$30.00
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$80.30
OpenSea airdrop before April? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$20.00
Solana above $170 on November 1? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$50.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$115.92
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$500.00
Berachain airdrop in 2024? · Yes0.4920.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00−$700.00
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.5090.000$0.00−$131.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 12:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.61256625$245.03
03-24 10:01Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.38$3.80
03-24 08:50Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.41$164.00
03-06 11:50Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4385$87.70
03-06 11:35Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.56$5.60
01-22 05:48Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.5088010499$131.81
01-22 05:48Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.73$80.30
10-30 08:43Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.6686226371$500.00
10-22 15:51MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.92$115.92
10-21 15:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.057742718$500.00
10-21 15:09Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?BUY0.1698821355$500.00
01-03 05:14TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
01-03 05:07OpenSea airdrop before April?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
01-03 05:07Ethereum all time high by March 31?BUY0.3299999967$50.00
01-03 05:06USDT depeg in 2025?BUY0.839999999$100.00