NotQuetions
0xc8a2817af83714dd98a33b1bf2ed87936eb2c590
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $6.17M
- Markets traded
- 877
- Open portfolio
- $39.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded877
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.173Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.345Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.9kat 0.455Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$1.2kat 0.163Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$1.1kat 0.420Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 19:05 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.9k |
| 07-26 17:35 | Will 100 Thieves Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.58 |
| 07-26 17:21 | Will 100 Thieves Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.034 | $8.83 |
| 07-24 18:20 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.57 | $698.55 |
| 07-22 20:29 | Will 100 Thieves Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.60 |
| 07-19 17:24 | Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 17:23 | Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | SELL | 0.2218449741 | $59.02 |
| 07-19 14:46 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.57 | $1.5k |
| 07-19 14:41 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 07-19 14:29 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.4088975335 | $197.61 |
| 07-19 14:08 | Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | BUY | 0.4446808511 | $83.60 |
| 07-18 14:36 | Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | BUY | 0.37 | $21.25 |
| 07-18 14:36 | Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 07-18 14:36 | Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | BUY | 0.35 | $56.10 |
| 07-18 14:01 | Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | BUY | 0.27 | $48.98 |