PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RazuchiDISNEY

0xc8a2608f430a9eaff02dceebbb92a0eeab02c9b6

Realised P&L
$-6.5k
Volume
$254.5k
Markets traded
2,502
Open portfolio
$400.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,502
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.7900.555$27.75$11.75
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9600.895$26.85$1.95
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes0.5700.350$17.50$11.00
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania? · Yes0.1300.330$16.50+$10.00
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · No0.7870.303$15.18$24.18
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? · Yes0.2500.140$13.95$11.05
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? · No0.8700.450$13.50$12.60
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.8200.420$12.60$12.00
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.4800.230$11.50$12.50
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yes0.6200.375$11.25$7.35
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? · Yes0.2600.185$9.25$3.75
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2890.185$9.25$5.20
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? · Yes0.1180.083$8.30$3.50
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.5600.275$8.25$8.55
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.155$7.75$11.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:48Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?SELL0.003$0.09
08-03 06:47Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026?SELL0.0013$0.07
08-03 06:47Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?SELL0.015$0.45
08-03 06:47Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?SELL0.0053598$0.27
08-03 06:47Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?SELL0.002$0.10
08-03 06:46Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$0.20
08-03 06:46Will Jeff Weninger win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?SELL0.003$0.15
08-03 06:46Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 28, 2026?SELL0.08$0.17
08-03 06:46Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win LCP 2026 Split 3?SELL0.005$0.15
08-03 06:17Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.07$3.50
08-03 03:57Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?SELL0.91$27.30
08-03 03:27Jonathan Majors as Kang?SELL0.073$3.65
08-03 02:37Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?SELL0.0585664837$1.39
08-03 02:37Will the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?SELL0.80568$24.17
08-03 02:37Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?SELL0.91$27.30