linux.xx1
0xc8a0a79c363c652c285183b06e2ad090b4a25cc4
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 1,926
- Open portfolio
- $844.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,926
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.07at 0.981Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
- +$183.91at 0.850Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$172.63at 0.979Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
- +$141.42at 0.981Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$125.10at 0.884Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 23:37 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9112707586 | $264.27 |
| 04-02 10:47 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.909 | $133.42 |
| 03-25 11:42 | Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitality | BUY | 0.64 | $139.01 |
| 03-25 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $4.33 |
| 03-25 11:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $8.34 |
| 03-25 11:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.42 |
| 02-09 01:06 | Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $126.67 |
| 01-11 21:37 | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.11 |
| 01-11 16:02 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.973 | $62.14 |
| 01-09 08:30 | Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | SELL | 0.778 | $3.89 |
| 01-08 13:03 | Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.78 |
| 01-08 04:56 | Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.84 | $12.60 |
| 01-08 03:28 | Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.768 | $78.69 |
| 01-08 03:28 | Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $31.88 |
| 01-08 00:36 | Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.85 | $20.36 |