compassionate0803
0xc89bffbde3a54f11e5285e8bdd0d6a2595820546
- Realised P&L
- $-103.55
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.650 | 0.976 | $7.11 | +$2.37 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.393 | 0.025 | $0.37 | −$5.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.55at 0.247Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$46.45at 0.335Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 1?
- +$44.65at 0.439Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$42.82at 0.341Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 23?
- +$42.44at 0.665Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:18 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 6? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.22 |
| 10-06 09:57 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.82 |
| 10-05 19:25 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 10-01 09:13 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.67 |
| 09-30 11:17 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.92 |
| 09-29 22:51 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.85 |
| 09-29 08:12 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.99 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.59 |
| 09-25 19:17 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 25? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.39 |
| 09-25 16:03 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 25? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.41 |
| 09-23 23:29 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.79 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-23 08:38 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.66 |
| 09-22 13:29 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.63 |
| 09-18 18:52 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |