compassionate0803
0xc89bffbde3a54f11e5285e8bdd0d6a2595820546
- Realised P&L
- $-37.47
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $5.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.418 | 0.977 | $4.32 | +$2.47 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.326 | 0.023 | $0.87 | −$11.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.42at 0.243Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$47.15at 0.328Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 1?
- +$44.65at 0.439Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$42.82at 0.341Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 23?
- +$42.78at 0.663Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:19 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.38 |
| 08-05 15:11 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.86 |
| 08-05 15:10 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.19 |
| 08-05 15:09 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.91 |
| 08-05 13:43 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.61 |
| 08-05 08:05 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.35 |
| 08-04 19:35 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 22:21 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.01 |
| 08-03 21:32 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.07 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.57 |
| 07-30 13:26 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.59 |
| 07-30 13:26 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.34 |
| 07-30 12:52 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.81 |