0xC89BF85A767f21317c55B54c71bd5D854f9c3FA6-1734203431471
0xc89bf85a767f21317c55b54c71bd5d854f9c3fa6
- Realised P&L
- $35.87
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $15.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.996 | $15.39 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.06at 0.660Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$0.24at 0.998Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$0.14at 0.994Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.14at 0.994Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
- +$0.13at 0.995Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.43 |
| 10-10 10:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9959999772 | $14.67 |
| 10-04 17:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.85 |
| 09-29 21:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.62 |
| 09-23 06:14 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.25 |
| 09-18 02:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9959999518 | $15.95 |
| 09-12 15:32 | Will Netflix win the most Emmys? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.36 |
| 09-05 19:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9979999449 | $12.06 |
| 08-25 04:47 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.73 |
| 08-20 06:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.18 |
| 08-16 18:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.10 |
| 08-12 06:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.51 |
| 08-09 19:14 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.14 |
| 04-27 12:38 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.80 |
| 04-25 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.63 |