jennifer38
0xc89b739601a3bf8cb7ca970523df5226947e0305
- Realised P&L
- $-3.05
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $103.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? · No | 0.670 | 0.665 | $57.66 | −$0.43 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · No | 0.788 | 0.605 | $28.02 | −$8.47 |
| Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? · No | 0.811 | 0.774 | $18.00 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.68at 0.370Grizzlies vs. Suns
- +$6.94at 0.780Falcons vs. Commanders
- +$6.02at 0.680Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.82at 0.998Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$4.23at 0.412Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:14 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.39 |
| 01-30 15:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.68 |
| 01-30 14:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.00 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.96 |
| 12-30 13:18 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.19 |
| 12-30 02:37 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999907 | $9.46 |
| 12-30 01:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999634 | $19.97 |
| 12-30 00:16 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999939 | $14.45 |
| 12-29 22:40 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.18 |
| 10-30 21:17 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.70 |
| 10-30 20:17 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.60 |
| 09-29 16:10 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $17.83 |
| 09-29 03:03 | Will Solana reach $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 09-28 23:25 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 21:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.77 |