PolyBot

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Traders

0xC895bA1DA746db395f844A63dECFE1d8C7716385-1776878450262

0xc895ba1da746db395f844a63decfe1d8c7716385

Realised P&L
$77.58
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$215.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:14Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.9279999983$35.00
10-05 22:13Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.8922818164$100.00
10-05 22:13Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.8595188681$100.00
09-26 13:40Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.9699999996$27.00
09-26 13:39Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.9607927214$100.00
09-26 13:39Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.96$100.00
09-01 02:40Will "Don't Look Down - Rod Wave" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 12?BUY0.9832969865$224.00
08-27 16:13Will "THE SIN : BLISS - ENHYPEN" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 5?BUY0.9631464234$216.00
08-20 13:08Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?BUY0.9745702504$210.00
08-05 10:13Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15?BUY0.9016395095$190.00
08-05 06:03Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?BUY0.3486030268$95.82
08-02 03:46Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
08-01 16:50Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?SELL0.46$100.00
07-31 17:12Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?BUY0.4599999983$100.00
07-27 08:38Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?SELL0.55$37.50