DavidTrezeguet
0xc88eb9ab98663254bff489c515f39f23b76bf3e1
- Realised P&L
- $-267.4k
- Volume
- $70.23M
- Markets traded
- 647
- Open portfolio
- $92.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded647
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36Mat 0.650Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$155.1kat 0.298Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.6kat 0.014Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$77.8kat 0.520Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$73.8kat 0.286Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 05:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 05:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $22.04 |
| 10-28 06:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $2.3k |
| 10-28 05:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9614869298 | $18.8k |
| 10-27 13:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0361219863 | $226.23 |
| 10-27 13:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0499771823 | $131.42 |
| 10-27 13:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $470.40 |
| 10-27 13:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1291087344 | $72.43 |
| 10-27 13:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6418400552 | $767.87 |
| 10-26 13:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9525543121 | $11.2k |
| 10-20 00:26 | Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.994 | $212.15 |
| 10-11 10:00 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0129916667 | $23.39 |
| 09-28 14:06 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8057875625 | $393.00 |
| 09-27 05:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8074567152 | $247.64 |
| 09-27 04:59 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.6k |