nlyyok
0xc88a86b84048e066008b054604b95e02a67e8c59
- Realised P&L
- $-154.38
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $1.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.59at 0.978Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$13.78at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$10.65at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$9.45at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$8.50at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $1.14 |
| 09-22 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 09-21 23:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $2.55 |
| 09-21 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 09-21 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.38 |