0x726a
0xc88a43dbb2e281c4c5814b215893d2f7f3969815
- Realised P&L
- $-861.07
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $406.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.28at 0.484Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?
- +$50.82at 0.790Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
- +$31.45at 0.615Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 25?
- +$20.22at 0.791Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?
- +$19.37at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 09-26 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.7599999889 | $5.46 |
| 09-26 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.98 |
| 09-26 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.7442424242 | $24.56 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.816168632 | $22.41 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.7623055785 | $27.74 |
| 09-26 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.6404640371 | $27.60 |
| 09-26 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.6899999825 | $10.65 |
| 09-26 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.6149409449 | $6.25 |
| 09-26 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-26 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.8639220699 | $50.46 |
| 09-26 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $45.91 |
| 09-26 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-26 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.995 | $59.70 |
| 09-26 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $46.45 |