TcMachine
0xc886b3cb5cdce50a45d0376a565c744cb5acb3a8
- Realised P&L
- $-35.93
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.50at 0.160Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?
- +$7.52at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?
- +$2.79at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$2.05at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.91 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.92 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.93 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.92 |
| 11-01 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |