PolyBot

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Traders

TcMachine

0xc886b3cb5cdce50a45d0376a565c744cb5acb3a8

Realised P&L
$-35.93
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$7.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? · Yes0.3400.390$2.22+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? · Yes0.2200.200$1.75−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 3? · Yes0.1600.115$1.38−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2? · Yes0.2000.255$1.28+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3? · Yes0.1000.045$0.87−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$4.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$1.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 05:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?BUY0.1$1.91
11-02 03:45Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 3?BUY0.16$1.92
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.34$1.93
11-01 17:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.22$1.92
11-01 01:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2?BUY0.2$1.00
10-31 10:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1?BUY0.35$2.00
10-29 23:43Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31?BUY0.26$2.00
10-28 19:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?BUY0.12$2.00
10-28 17:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?BUY0.16$2.00
10-28 09:13Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?BUY0.18$2.00
10-27 14:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?BUY0.21$2.00
10-27 11:25Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?BUY0.23$2.00
10-26 11:52Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?BUY0.24$2.00
10-26 07:23Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?BUY0.37$2.00
10-24 09:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?BUY0.16$2.00