DeFiman12
0xc87cb081af08e8332a279ddf99507b7c96de0b0a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $28.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.70at 0.603Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?
- +$95.88at 0.510Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?
- +$93.82at 0.680Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$91.69at 0.620Will Solana dip to $90 in February?
- +$84.38at 0.640Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 21:23 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $195.64 |
| 06-28 17:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209 | $39.71 |
| 06-28 17:21 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 06-28 17:20 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.18 | $54.00 |
| 06-26 20:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 06-26 20:52 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.88 | $108.64 |
| 06-16 21:18 | Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 06-16 21:16 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 06-16 21:15 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $78.00 |
| 06-16 21:12 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 06-13 17:00 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.82 | $98.40 |
| 06-12 20:59 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $57.60 |
| 06-12 20:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.161 | $193.20 |
| 06-12 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 06-12 20:55 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |