PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DeFiman12

0xc87cb081af08e8332a279ddf99507b7c96de0b0a

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$19.1k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$28.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.7250.065$17.92$182.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6500.080$10.88$78.09
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$9.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$193.20
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$195.64
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$39.71
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$54.00
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$57.60
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$48.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$98.40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$134.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$132.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$76.00
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 21:23Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2699999992$195.64
06-28 17:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209$39.71
06-28 17:21Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.44$132.00
06-28 17:20Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.18$54.00
06-26 20:56Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$116.00
06-26 20:52FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.88$108.64
06-16 21:18Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.24$9.60
06-16 21:16Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.76$76.00
06-16 21:15Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.26$78.00
06-16 21:12Will France win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.999$199.80
06-13 17:00Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.82$98.40
06-12 20:59Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64$57.60
06-12 20:57Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.161$193.20
06-12 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.71$142.00
06-12 20:55Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.67$134.00