0xc87b9622de6b45a7961dd70e379aa7e3e197748b
- Realised P&L
- $-38.38
- Volume
- $737.05
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $41.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.390 | 0.380 | $18.83 | −$0.50 |
| Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.855 | $18.41 | −$1.52 |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $4.27 | −$0.56 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.32at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$4.64at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$4.64at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$4.64at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$4.64at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:45 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3899999921 | $19.33 |
| 08-06 23:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | SELL | 0.5126143791 | $19.61 |
| 08-06 23:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5053050762 | $19.33 |
| 08-06 23:56 | Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.9253939228 | $19.93 |
| 08-06 22:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $19.32 |
| 08-06 22:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4076213213 | $19.33 |
| 08-06 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0997999756 | $18.81 |
| 08-06 03:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0386081275 | $4.68 |
| 08-06 01:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999609 | $4.83 |
| 08-06 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999609 | $4.83 |
| 08-06 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.83 |
| 08-04 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.0333410973 | $1.29 |
| 08-04 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $19.32 |
| 08-04 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999609 | $4.83 |
| 08-04 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999609 | $4.83 |