0xc870c550baf6de737a8ac780c50623df29f8a17f
0xc870c550baf6de737a8ac780c50623df29f8a17f
- Realised P&L
- $5.31
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $202.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.77at 0.765Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$19.21at 0.397Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
- +$2.96at 0.349Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$2.48at 0.231Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.90at 0.162Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:37 | Will Together be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.7199997696 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.92 |
| 11-01 17:19 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.95 |
| 11-01 17:19 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.24 |
| 11-01 17:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:47 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.11 |
| 11-01 10:12 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.02 |
| 10-30 20:24 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.50 |
| 10-29 05:52 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.43 |
| 10-28 19:30 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.104 | $0.64 |
| 10-28 06:26 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 05:50 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 05:43 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 05:37 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |