PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FrownManner

0xc8672c17665b9a203c6d7e6436c4e0580da2dcc3

Realised P&L
$-14.27
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$28.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 03:30Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.78$3.90
10-01 03:30Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.82$4.10
10-01 03:30Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.97$4.85
09-30 23:24Will an AL West team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.99$4.95
09-30 23:22Will an AL Central team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.97$1.92
09-30 23:22Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.79$3.95
09-30 23:22Will an NL West team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.34$0.34
09-30 23:22Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.85$4.25
09-30 23:22Will an NL East team win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.99$4.95
07-31 07:35Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?BUY0.94$4.70
07-31 05:24Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?BUY0.99$4.95
07-31 05:24Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?BUY0.93$4.65
07-31 05:22Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%?BUY0.99$4.95
07-31 05:22Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?BUY0.92$4.60
07-31 05:22Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?BUY0.98$4.90