0xc862c23d98d2745266084a7397f44700d86ab277
- Realised P&L
- $-1.88
- Volume
- $88.98
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $16.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $8.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.875 | $2.30 | +$0.54 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.545 | $2.18 | +$0.19 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $1.61 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.875 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.275 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.09at 0.535Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3399999636 | $1.68 |
| 09-13 16:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $1.76 |
| 09-13 16:05 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 16:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 16:01 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:57 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999994 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 15:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4969998939 | $1.99 |