PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc862c23d98d2745266084a7397f44700d86ab277

Realised P&L
$-1.88
Volume
$88.98
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$16.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1200.125$8.33+$0.33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6700.875$2.30+$0.54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4970.545$2.18+$0.19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.325$1.61$0.07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7900.875$1.11+$0.11
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No0.2700.275$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 16:252026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3399999636$1.68
09-13 16:23Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.6699999163$1.76
09-13 16:05Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
09-13 16:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-13 16:01Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-13 15:57Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1199999994$8.00
09-13 15:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4969998939$1.99