0xC860AbA70F2D90417F519Dd6b433C03D87BCACb3-1783147741479
0xc860aba70f2d90417f519dd6b433c03d87bcacb3
- Realised P&L
- $-12.73
- Volume
- $133.88
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $9.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.690 | 0.680 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.759 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.06at 0.622Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$4.10at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$2.97at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$0.63at 0.617Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$0.61at 0.622Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:59 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 13:59 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $8.11 |
| 08-22 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 15:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $13.00 |
| 07-10 15:03 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.22 |
| 07-09 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 13:53 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6149998616 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.58 |
| 07-06 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |