PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC860AbA70F2D90417F519Dd6b433C03D87BCACb3-1783147741479

0xc860aba70f2d90417f519dd6b433c03d87bcacb3

Realised P&L
$-12.73
Volume
$133.88
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$9.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7200.715$4.97−$0.03
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? · No0.6900.680$4.93−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.7590.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:59Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
09-28 12:57Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-19 13:59Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
08-27 12:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.7199999654$5.00
08-22 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL0.99$8.11
08-22 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
08-22 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
07-10 15:24Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999934$13.00
07-10 15:03Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.66$1.22
07-09 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.7899999921$1.00
07-09 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.7299998102$1.00
07-09 13:53Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6149998616$1.00
07-08 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-07 11:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?SELL0.999$1.58
07-06 14:52Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?BUY0.63$1.00