PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc85Bb8afb9976310AfBf1fBA223c3395B1D6BA1B-1784350284811

0xc85bb8afb9976310afbf1fba223c3395b1d6ba1b

Realised P&L
$808.57
Volume
$37.3k
Markets traded
742
Open portfolio
$133.79

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded742
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? · No0.7281.000$12.99+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 23? · No0.7310.840$10.92+$1.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? · No0.4901.000$9.99+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 22? · No0.8390.875$9.63+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23? · No0.8550.805$8.86$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22? · No0.6601.000$8.00+$2.72
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23? · No0.6200.870$6.96+$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? · No0.4500.595$6.54+$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22? · No0.7800.920$6.44+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? · No0.8301.000$6.00+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 22? · No0.8701.000$6.00+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 22? · No0.8101.000$6.00+$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 24? · No0.8800.870$5.22$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 24? · No0.8800.840$5.04$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? · No0.5600.560$5.04+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 17:39Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 23?BUY0.62$4.96
09-22 14:41Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 24?BUY0.88$5.28
09-22 14:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 24?BUY0.88$5.28
09-22 11:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.62$4.96
09-22 09:58Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.85$4.25
09-22 09:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23?BUY0.56$5.04
09-22 06:10Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?BUY0.88$5.28
09-22 03:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 03:52Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.86$5.16
09-22 01:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 01:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?BUY0.45$4.95
09-21 23:40Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?BUY0.49$4.90
09-21 22:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22?BUY0.78$5.46
09-21 19:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 21?SELL0.999$5.00
09-21 19:49Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 23?BUY0.7316666667$4.39