PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC853F34f762fbe0615C9421666D36EE1D47fE744-1769493406927

0xc853f34f762fbe0615c9421666d36ee1d47fe744

Realised P&L
$-22.10
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$3.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.1100.072$3.40−$1.80
Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.059$0.08−$0.19
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$8.70
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event · No0.4300.000$0.00−$1.12
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 · Over0.3100.000$0.00−$6.44
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.8300.000$0.00−$7.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 · Over0.6400.000$0.00−$4.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.3800.000$0.00−$5.00
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5400.000$0.00−$10.00
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers · Seattle Mariners0.8600.000$0.00−$9.73
Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks0.6100.000$0.00−$8.11
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) · Spurs0.6900.000$0.00−$7.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 12:20Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?SELL0.8$6.34
08-11 12:19Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?SELL0.19$2.26
07-31 06:36Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.08$0.74
07-29 04:40Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.974$4.59
07-17 07:01Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-16 11:50Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.29$5.37
07-16 07:33Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-14 15:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6109999927$7.18
07-14 10:26Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?SELL0.88$6.93
07-14 04:37Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?BUY0.95$7.48
07-14 00:32Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?SELL0.15$4.61
07-14 00:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8599999796$5.05
07-12 08:46Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B?SELL0.2$1.46
07-12 08:46Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B?SELL0.2$4.56
07-12 08:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$3.76