0xC853F34f762fbe0615C9421666D36EE1D47fE744-1769493406927
0xc853f34f762fbe0615c9421666d36ee1d47fe744
- Realised P&L
- $-22.10
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $3.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.072 | $3.40 | −$1.80 |
| Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.059 | $0.08 | −$0.19 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.44 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.58 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers · Seattle Mariners | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.73 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.11 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) · Spurs | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.78at 0.364Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$8.91at 0.397Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
- +$7.94at 0.460Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
- +$7.56at 0.557Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$6.03at 0.597Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 12:20 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.34 |
| 08-11 12:19 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.26 |
| 07-31 06:36 | Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.74 |
| 07-29 04:40 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.59 |
| 07-17 07:01 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 11:50 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.37 |
| 07-16 07:33 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 15:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6109999927 | $7.18 |
| 07-14 10:26 | Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.93 |
| 07-14 04:37 | Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.48 |
| 07-14 00:32 | Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.61 |
| 07-14 00:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8599999796 | $5.05 |
| 07-12 08:46 | Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.46 |
| 07-12 08:46 | Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.56 |
| 07-12 08:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.76 |