PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xC853F34f762fbe0615C9421666D36EE1D47fE744-1769493406927

0xc853f34f762fbe0615c9421666d36ee1d47fe744

Realised P&L
$-21.73
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$31.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9300.977$10.84+$0.52
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.6300.765$6.07+$1.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8600.875$5.14+$0.09
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9740.984$4.64+$0.05
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.4200.235$2.80$2.20
Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.1100.032$1.49$3.71
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event · No0.4300.165$0.43$0.69
Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.280$0.37+$0.10
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00$8.70
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 · Over0.3100.000$0.00$6.44
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.8300.000$0.00$7.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 · Over0.6400.000$0.00$4.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox0.5400.000$0.00$5.00
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.3800.000$0.00$5.00
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 06:36Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.08$0.74
07-29 04:40Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.974$4.59
07-17 07:01Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-16 11:50Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.29$5.37
07-16 07:33Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-14 15:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6109999927$7.18
07-14 10:26Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?SELL0.88$6.93
07-14 04:37Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?BUY0.95$7.48
07-14 00:32Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?SELL0.15$4.61
07-14 00:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8599999796$5.05
07-12 08:46Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B?SELL0.2$1.46
07-12 08:46Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B?SELL0.2$4.56
07-12 08:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$3.76
07-12 08:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.73$5.11
07-12 08:04Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.88$4.82