0xC853F34f762fbe0615C9421666D36EE1D47fE744-1769493406927
0xc853f34f762fbe0615c9421666d36ee1d47fe744
- Realised P&L
- $-21.73
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $31.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.92at 0.355Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$9.02at 0.390Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
- +$7.94at 0.460Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
- +$7.68at 0.550Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$6.10at 0.592Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:36 | Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.74 |
| 07-29 04:40 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.59 |
| 07-17 07:01 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 11:50 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.37 |
| 07-16 07:33 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 15:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6109999927 | $7.18 |
| 07-14 10:26 | Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.93 |
| 07-14 04:37 | Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.48 |
| 07-14 00:32 | Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.61 |
| 07-14 00:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8599999796 | $5.05 |
| 07-12 08:46 | Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.46 |
| 07-12 08:46 | Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.56 |
| 07-12 08:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.76 |
| 07-12 08:05 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 07-12 08:04 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.82 |