yhjsese
0xc84b07bc7b1ce71582b3246c5ce5b17ddab42936
- Realised P&L
- $-179.88
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $265.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.160 | $265.28 | −$198.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.46at 0.576Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$2.14at 0.958Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$0.00at 0.513Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.625Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.32at 0.989Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 11:46 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.988 | $316.16 |
| 06-28 07:04 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.989 | $316.48 |
| 05-22 12:20 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.963 | $412.16 |
| 05-14 08:34 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.958 | $410.02 |
| 04-17 07:09 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5759715101 | $202.17 |
| 03-25 11:27 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.513 | $451.44 |
| 03-20 11:51 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.625 | $425.00 |