0xc838e748bd8377533bf9327a12796fbd6812b106
- Realised P&L
- $-338.78
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $78.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.025 | $49.79 | −$111.21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.018 | $28.34 | −$51.66 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.37at 0.083Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$18.98at 0.016Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.048Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.170Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-6.09at 0.134Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 15:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1708752442 | $161.83 |
| 03-29 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021622503 | $68.98 |
| 03-26 16:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1317247276 | $338.91 |
| 03-25 19:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $759.36 |
| 03-24 20:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0478077235 | $508.14 |
| 03-08 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0462475085 | $324.14 |
| 03-01 21:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999992 | $161.00 |
| 03-01 21:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0792210748 | $161.00 |
| 03-01 21:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $181.00 |
| 03-01 21:37 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 23:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1340914634 | $345.00 |
| 02-28 23:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0836838291 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 23:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0156723384 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 21:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $197.00 |
| 02-01 16:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0522198286 | $80.00 |