PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc838e748bd8377533bf9327a12796fbd6812b106

Realised P&L
$-338.78
Volume
$58.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$78.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.025$49.79$111.21
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.018$28.34$51.66
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 15:00Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1708752442$161.83
03-29 14:53Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.021622503$68.98
03-26 16:44Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1317247276$338.91
03-25 19:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$759.36
03-24 20:56Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0478077235$508.14
03-08 08:13Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0462475085$324.14
03-01 21:48Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999992$161.00
03-01 21:48Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0792210748$161.00
03-01 21:39Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$181.00
03-01 21:37Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$10.00
02-28 23:42Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1340914634$345.00
02-28 23:41Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0836838291$500.00
02-28 23:39Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0156723384$50.00
02-28 21:38Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$197.00
02-01 16:19Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0522198286$80.00