IsabellaKeith
0xc8348e6f9ba3b7104cbba3949e72db9a356a6087
- Realised P&L
- $-7.47
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.973 | $1.27 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.994Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
- +$-0.10at 0.996Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
- +$-0.15at 0.993Manchester United wins the Premier League?
- +$-0.16at 0.995Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
- +$-0.32at 0.999Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 18:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat? | BUY | 0.9199997547 | $1.20 |
| 04-12 23:17 | Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? | BUY | 0.9939999967 | $1.20 |
| 01-17 11:40 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.33 |
| 01-05 02:14 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.2k |
| 01-05 02:14 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.977 | $1.2k |
| 01-05 02:14 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.993 | $81.83 |
| 01-05 02:13 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.995 | $82.00 |
| 01-03 09:49 | Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.994 | $823.34 |
| 01-03 09:48 | Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $825.00 |
| 01-02 22:26 | Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.995 | $103.89 |
| 01-02 22:26 | Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $104.00 |
| 01-02 10:37 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | SELL | 0.989 | $436.56 |
| 01-02 10:37 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.99 | $437.00 |
| 01-02 10:37 | Will someone else be inaugurated? | SELL | 0.993 | $167.83 |
| 01-02 10:36 | Will someone else be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.994 | $168.00 |