0xc8217843cf0ec8d2112fd337b60ad31659613250
- Realised P&L
- $-8.78
- Volume
- $546.00
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $80.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.30at 0.500Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$1.74at 0.832Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.05at 0.185Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$-0.05at 0.234Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$-1.26at 0.088Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 03:06 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.934 | $13.08 |
| 06-22 06:41 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.473 | $2.36 |
| 06-10 04:46 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 06-07 15:31 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 06-05 04:52 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 06-02 16:01 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 05-30 23:32 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 05-23 23:54 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.562 | $4.50 |
| 05-23 23:54 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.439 | $5.27 |
| 05-23 23:54 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.924 | $5.54 |
| 05-23 23:53 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.077 | $1.85 |
| 05-21 08:46 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 05-21 08:45 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 05-21 08:45 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.464 | $3.25 |
| 05-21 08:45 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.536 | $8.58 |