PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc8217843cf0ec8d2112fd337b60ad31659613250

Realised P&L
$-8.78
Volume
$546.00
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$80.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 03:06Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.934$13.08
06-22 06:41Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.473$2.36
06-10 04:46Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.67$4.69
06-07 15:31Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.33$2.31
06-05 04:52Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$1.84
06-02 16:01Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$1.20
05-30 23:32Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$8.20
05-23 23:54Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.562$4.50
05-23 23:54Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.439$5.27
05-23 23:54Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.924$5.54
05-23 23:53Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.077$1.85
05-21 08:46Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.7$3.50
05-21 08:45Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.3$12.00
05-21 08:45Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.464$3.25
05-21 08:45Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.536$8.58