spark2026
0xc80a21f681660a592de69ccf49454ee64da130f6
- Realised P&L
- $-34.49
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.295 | 0.085 | $3.11 | −$7.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.29at 0.013Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 29?
- +$53.06at 0.469Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 6?
- +$43.37at 0.393Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 9?
- +$40.07at 0.330Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$30.05at 0.205Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:21 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.79 |
| 08-05 13:37 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.72 |
| 08-05 09:46 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $6.80 |
| 08-04 23:21 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.45 | $8.03 |
| 08-04 19:31 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 19:31 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 13:57 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-03 22:14 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.12 |
| 08-03 18:06 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 18:06 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 08:00 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.95 |
| 07-31 19:37 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 19:36 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 19:15 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.24 |