pandamann
0xc80920aa7aaca0e18922aa1efe3609de7a4c14dd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.545 | $1.6k | −$381.71 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.684 | 0.887 | $214.14 | +$49.14 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.705 | $105.18 | +$5.18 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $21.88 | −$0.53 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.30 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Anyones Legend | 0.586 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.99at 0.730Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$18.26at 0.846US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
- +$17.84at 0.809Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
- +$17.69at 0.834Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$16.28at 0.860Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 08:23 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.729999996 | $35.00 |
| 06-25 19:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.670292819 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 19:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.954 | $95.40 |
| 06-25 19:28 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 06-25 19:27 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5959999984 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 15:16 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 15:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $117.68 |
| 06-02 06:38 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.6869999937 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 03:08 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 18:59 | Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 14:35 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 06-01 14:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 06-01 10:46 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 09:42 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 09:35 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |