PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pandamann

0xc80920aa7aaca0e18922aa1efe3609de7a4c14dd

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6730.545$1.6k$381.71
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6840.887$214.14+$49.14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$105.18+$5.18
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6400.625$21.88$0.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5960.000$0.00$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$35.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$186.30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Anyones Legend0.5860.000$0.00$35.00
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels0.9000.000$0.00$100.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 08:23Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.729999996$35.00
06-25 19:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.670292819$100.00
06-25 19:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.954$95.40
06-25 19:28Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8$30.00
06-25 19:27Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5959999984$100.00
06-23 15:16Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8599999959$100.00
06-23 15:15Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.981$117.68
06-02 06:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.6869999937$100.00
06-02 03:08Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.9$100.00
06-01 18:59Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiBUY0.73$100.00
06-01 14:35Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.64$22.40
06-01 14:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.82$82.00
06-01 10:46LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.3299999812$10.00
06-01 09:42LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsBUY0.8499999983$50.00
06-01 09:35Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary SvajdaBUY0.9299999997$100.00