PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC8077DB80B5feaD04246a5Cae2B63C092e148A78-1776374516254

0xc8077db80b5fead04246a5cae2b63c092e148a78

Realised P&L
$-43.10
Volume
$57.2k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$811.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.5201.000$768.85+$368.85
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.3090.043$42.26−$257.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$4.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$566.17
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.3710.000$0.00−$9.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 21:22Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.3088225625$300.00
10-12 21:21Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.5199999995$400.00
10-12 18:41Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.48$566.17
10-04 22:53Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.009$8.00
10-04 22:43Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.009$12.00
05-03 22:42Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.73$7.30
05-03 21:19Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.21$2.10
05-03 21:19Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.22$2.20
05-03 19:09Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.04$0.40
05-03 19:08Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.06$0.60
05-03 19:08Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.51$5.10
05-03 19:08Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.21$2.10
05-03 19:04Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.52$5.20
05-03 19:02Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.22$2.20
05-03 18:55Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.21$11.13