0xC8077DB80B5feaD04246a5Cae2B63C092e148A78-1776374516254
0xc8077db80b5fead04246a5cae2b63c092e148a78
- Realised P&L
- $-43.10
- Volume
- $57.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $811.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.520 | 1.000 | $768.85 | +$368.85 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.043 | $42.26 | −$257.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$566.17 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.90at 0.720Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?
- +$14.82at 0.851Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?
- +$13.93at 0.927Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?
- +$6.61at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$3.97at 0.597Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:22 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.3088225625 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 21:21 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $400.00 |
| 10-12 18:41 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.48 | $566.17 |
| 10-04 22:53 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $8.00 |
| 10-04 22:43 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $12.00 |
| 05-03 22:42 | Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 05-03 21:19 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 05-03 21:19 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 05-03 19:09 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 05-03 19:08 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 05-03 19:08 | Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 05-03 19:08 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 05-03 19:04 | Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 05-03 19:02 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 05-03 18:55 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.21 | $11.13 |