PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC806668F17764097A0bEbc7F145550Bc15ebb644-1773430617495

0xc806668f17764097a0bebc7f145550bc15ebb644

Realised P&L
$-50.42
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$23.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No0.9990.996$23.89−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30?BUY0.999$23.98
07-06 07:37Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$6.00
06-29 07:04Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 06:30Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.24
05-15 08:11Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.60
05-11 03:47Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$8.00
04-15 06:29Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$10.10
04-11 05:25Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$10.00
04-09 08:49Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.99
04-03 10:05Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$8.82
04-02 08:09Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$9.80