0xC806668F17764097A0bEbc7F145550Bc15ebb644-1773430617495
0xc806668f17764097a0bebc7f145550bc15ebb644
- Realised P&L
- $-50.42
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $23.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $23.89 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.980Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$0.34at 0.970Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 17?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.05at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-06 07:37 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 07:04 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 06:30 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.24 |
| 05-15 08:11 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.60 |
| 05-11 03:47 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 04-15 06:29 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-11 05:25 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 08:49 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-03 10:05 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $8.82 |
| 04-02 08:09 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |