2dd3
0xc7fe7fbab71f9291e9dc23dab5631a399241ab4a
- Realised P&L
- $494.62
- Volume
- $82.2k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $13.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? · No | 0.100 | 0.122 | $13.07 | +$2.40 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.050 | $0.07 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.50at 0.185Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- +$116.59at 0.130Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- +$66.25at 0.106Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?
- +$48.41at 0.087Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- +$41.35at 0.108Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:40 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.119 | $2.38 |
| 10-06 02:49 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.0824391475 | $2.94 |
| 10-06 02:32 | Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 10-06 02:31 | Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.0615577051 | $0.92 |
| 10-06 02:31 | Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.072 | $9.10 |
| 10-06 01:03 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.1182857143 | $8.28 |
| 10-06 01:02 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.125 | $4.91 |
| 10-06 00:56 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.64 |
| 10-06 00:56 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.40 |
| 10-06 00:56 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.08 |
| 10-06 00:56 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | SELL | 0.0803225911 | $24.90 |
| 10-06 00:54 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-06 00:53 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-06 00:52 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-06 00:52 | Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |