Alkshy
0xc7e7c76b0c5992b5b49729e916a4264b80cf6094
- Realised P&L
- $32.51
- Volume
- $565.19
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.125 | $2.50 | +$1.30 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.018 | $1.48 | +$0.36 |
| Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 9? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 9? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? · No | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.04at 0.408Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$15.52at 0.142Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 10-05 14:49 | Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 14:35 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.12 |
| 10-02 12:14 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 11:42 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.00 |