iwillpunish
0xc7e175a916df16b1cbca2f36b04b184143d1bc09
- Realised P&L
- $-15.80
- Volume
- $95.46
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.500 | $10.00 | −$8.40 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.811Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$1.19at 0.830US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 01:40 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-23 01:39 | Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 05-25 21:23 | Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 05-25 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 21:22 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.81 |